Monday, July 22, 2013

Not all Threats go Boom

First written in 2002

America’s attention and resources, following the vicious attack by terrorists on September 11, 2001, have been focused on the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT).  The United States (U.S.) has been forced to become more vigilantly aware of the threat posed by terrorists due to the increasing successes of terrorist plots, and this last decade stands as a testament to their increasing success or determination.  The first bombing of the World Trade Center (1993), Khobar Towers (1996), two U.S. Embassies (1998), and the USS Cole (2000) are a few of the more pronounced episodes, but terrorists stepped too far with their second attack on the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001.  The deadly strike, here at home, killing thousands of innocent civilians without warning and without provocation was the event that convinced the U.S. to take the offensive.  The President’s current strategy is to “preemptively” destroy the training camps of would-be-terrorists in Afghanistan before their diabolical plans are even conceived.  The U.S. is wagering that age-old adage that “an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure,” which may be cheaper in the long run and defiantly safer for all Americans.  Given these serious challenges now facing the U.S. are there any compelling reasons why we (the U.S.) should care about the generally accepted poor health care and rampant infectious disease occurrences afflicting the people of Sub-Saharan Africa? 

As a region, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is characterized by having the greatest infectious disease burden, the weakest public health infrastructure, the highest birth rates, lowest per capita annual income, poorest economic outlook, highest illiteracy rates, largest number of displaced persons, and a long history of corrupt governments.[i]  If this were not enough, Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), Ebola, Monkeypox and West Nile virus all originated in this region as well.  One need only examine the HIV infection rates to witness a startling example of the disproportional disparity of diseases in Africa.  Currently, SSA sports some alarming statistics: 72% of the world’s HIV infections and 80% of the world’s HIV-positive women are in 10% of the world’s population, and with adults in SSA 30 times more likely to be infected with HIV than those in Brazil or India.  Given these alarming statistics it would seem prudent for the Western world to put a fence around the region, declare it persona non gratis, and focus attention on the bigger problems like terrorism. 

Two years prior to 9/11, in August of 1999, New York City (NYC) came under attack from a previously unnoticed killer, West Nile virus (WNV).  The introduction of this virus into NYC was the first time that WNV had been diagnosed in the Western Hemisphere.  WNV, a mosquito borne virus, moves between infected birds to humans and is common in SSA.  In 1999 WNV was responsible for the deaths of 7 New Yorker residents and infected thousands of others.  By 2003 the virus has spread to 46 states and was responsible for over 200 American deaths and hundreds of thousands more people being infected.  West Nile virus exceeded all epidemiologists’ predictions by spreading across the U.S., literally like wild fire, in just 4 years after its debut in New York City.  The U.S. is spending millions of dollars each year in an attempt to control this new menace, but the cold reality is, it is a disease we will have to live with because we cannot stop it.  The cost in both human lives and to our national treasury--over the years—will eventually far exceed the costs suffered on September 11. 

In addition to WNV, there are countless other human and animal infectious diseases circulating in Africa that ultimately pose a significant threat to the national security of the United States.  The introduction of diseases like Rift Valley fever, yellow fever, and malaria would result in thousands of American’s dying as well as the concomitant financial burden and negative impact to the overall health status for Americans.  If this matter were not dire enough, there are over 25 million Africans infected with HIV, and therefore, immuno-compromised.  These people are vulnerable to any and all infections and the potential to develop drug resistant bacteria and viruses is without question.  These infected individuals will not be helped by the possible development of an effective vaccine, anti-retroviral medicines will not reverse their condition, and their deaths will impact SSA and the world in ways not yet imagined. 

The seriousness of these issues has not escaped the current administration.  President Bush signed legislation on May 27, 2003 authorizing a new five-year $15 billion Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief.  While this plan is a step in the right direction it underscores the lack of understanding of the real threat to all Americans.  We cannot continue to view the infectious disease threats of Africa through the lens of humanitarianism, we need to see the threat for what it is…a ticking time bomb that will not go away or die out!  Spending large amounts of the national treasury trying to extend the lives of people already stricken with disease does not lessen the threat or reduce the disease burden, it just makes the U.S. feel better and gives the worldly appearance that we (the U.S.) care. 

The United States--with the help of other countries--needs to develop and provide sustainable universal disease control and preventive medicine programs aimed at improving the overall education and health care of all Africans.  Preemptively the “national strategic” goal must be to stop, or at least control, the infectious diseases in SSA before they have a chance to find their way into the virgin human and animal populations.

The threat of terrorism is clear.  All Americans still carry the indelible image of the World Trade Center collapsing etched in their mind; reminding us to what lengths the enemy is willing to go.  We do not, however, have a clear of image of the threat posed to us by the spread of infectious diseases.  The process, with rare exceptions such as the Flu Pandemic of 1918, is methodical, less dramatic, killing a few thousand and infecting hundreds of thousands in a year, and happens without bombs or burning buildings but rather slowly, without notice, potentially destroying the American way of life. 

What can we do?  In recent years a new phrase has erupted among people working with Africans,  “African solutions for African problems.”  Translation:  “We (the U.S.) don’t know how to solve these problems, do you?”  The approach that needs to be undertaken is the “preemptive policy” and this solution, just like GWOT, takes commitment, money, vision, and popular support.  The U.S. needs to leverage her knowledge, people, and assets against the problems of SSA by helping to improve the overall health and education of its peoples while working to improve disease control. 
It is time to place the same “preemptive” philosophy used for battling terrorism, vis-à-vis GWOT, to controlling diseases in SSA.  If we do not stand and fight these diseases in SSA we will have to fight them in the continental U.S. and when we fight them here at home…the battle will have already been lost. 



[i] Jennifer Brower and Peter Chalk, The Global Threat of New and Reemerging Infectious Diseases. Rand Publishing, Pittsburgh, PA,  2003, p 42

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